WERNER & CO, PLLC
INVESTMENT ADVISORY NEWLETTER
FEBRUARY 23, 2005
This past quarter (November,
December and January) is a story of two months up and one month down for an
overall gain of 6% for average diversified equity funds. November was a surprise with the post
election rally followed by December, which was a surprise for a month that
normally sees profit taking followed by January, which also came as a
surprise. In other words, once again,
the short-term markets remain thoroughly unpredictable. However, the old lesson still remains – you
have to be at the station when the train comes through, or you miss the train!
Recently I updated my list
of recommended funds, dropping a few old names and adding a few promising
funds. Mostly I am still pleased that
funds which had been consistent positive performers, continued to perform well
in 2004. Among the firms dropped were
Marsico Focus, Gabelli Growth and Oakmark Equity and Income Fund. None of these funds were performing badly,
but each of them seems to have slipped into a state of mediocrity. Among the new funds added to the list are
Fidelity Blue Chip Value Fund (a value oriented fund specializing in large companies), Alpine Dynamic Dividend Fund (a fund
seeking companies that pay substantial dividends), TCW Gallileo Dividend Focus
(a fund with a number of familiar Northwest companies), Vanguard Windsor Fund
(a value fund with a very long term positive record) and Causeway International
(an international fund specializing in small and medium size companies). Where appropriate we will be investing into
one or more of these funds as well as our other funds which have been proven
winners.
Following two good investing
years, 2005 may prove a challenge.
Nevertheless at this time there are a number of positive economic
indicators. As we continue to seek out a
sensible and rewarding investment path, please feel free to call me anytime
with your investment or financial issues.
Best Wishes for 2005,
Roger Werner, CPA